- The Author
Bill Gates and Moore's Law, An Addition To Page 162
If when I published my book I had been aware of Bill Gate's 1996 quote ......
"We always overestimate the change that will occur in the next two years and underestimate the change that will occur in the next ten" .... I would have included it on page 162 when discussing the end of the overhyped Dot.Com era and included a backward reference to page 20's mention of Moore's Law. It has proved to be totally true in the real world, particularly in the field of technology developments all the way from relational databases and personal computers to blockchains and quantum computers. Many variants of the central idea have appeared from as far back as at least the 1980s but Bill Gates version is a pleasingly precise, concise formulation.